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Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
105 AM EDT Fri May 25 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad surface low centered near the east coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula of Mexico is producing widespread, but disorganized,
shower and thunderstorm activity.  Environmental conditions
are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a
subtropical or tropical depression or storm is likely to form during
the weekend over the eastern or central Gulf of Mexico.  Please see
high seas forecasts issued by the National Weather Service for
information on gale warnings associated with this system.  An Air
Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate
the disturbance this afternoon, if necessary.  Locally heavy
rainfall is forecast across western Cuba and over much of Florida
and the northern Gulf Coast into early next week.  In addition, the
threat of rip currents will steadily increase along the Gulf coast
from Florida westward to Louisiana over the Memorial Day weekend.
For more information on these threats, please see products issued by
your local weather office. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook
on this system will be issued by 800 AM EDT today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Beven