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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 12 2017

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Jova, located about 100 miles northwest of Socorro Island.

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a surface trough located
a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, remain disorganized.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for
development in a few days, and a tropical depression could form
sometime next week while the system moves west or west-northwestward
around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is expected to develop over the open eastern
North Pacific Ocean in a few days.  Although the large-scale
environmental conditions are expected to be generally favorable for
the formation of a tropical cyclone, close proximity to the
disturbance to the east could inhibit significant development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Jova are issued under WMO header
WTPZ32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Jova are issued under WMO
header WTPZ22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP2.

Forecaster Zelinsky