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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST THU NOV 17 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Cloudiness and showers over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are
associated with a broad low pressure area.  This system has changed
little in organization since yesterday.  However, environmental
conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during
the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form
over the weekend while the low moves slowly and erratically.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Forecaster Pasch