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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT FRI OCT 21 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. An area of showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles
southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is associated with a broad area
of low pressure. Environmental conditions are expected to be
conducive for development of this disturbance during the next few
days, and a tropical depression will likely form by early next week
while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent
2. A small area of low pressure located about 800 miles south-southwest
of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to
produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. Further development
of this system is unlikely due to strong upper-level winds while
the low drifts northward or northwestward over the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent
Forecaster Brennan