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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT THU SEP 22 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A broad area of low pressure is located about 900 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Although this system continues to produce a large area of
persistent showers and thunderstorms, recent satellite data
indicates that a well-defined surface circulation has not yet
formed.  Environmental conditions are still forecast to support the
development of a tropical depression within the next few days while
the disturbance moves slowly toward the northwest and then north at
about 5 to 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Forecaster Beven/Zelinsky