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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT SEP 17 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system
located about 350 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continue to
show signs of organization. Although satellite data indicate that
the system does not have a well-defined center yet, only a small
increase in the organization could lead to the formation of a
tropical depression tonight or on Sunday. This system is expected
to move west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph offshore of the coast of
Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent
2. An area of low pressure could form in a few days well south of
southwestern Mexico. Some gradual development of this system is
possible by the middle of next week while it moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent
Forecaster Cangialosi