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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 5 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical
Cyclone Hermine, located off of the mid-Atlantic coast of the United
States.

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave
located over eastern Caribbean remains disorganized.  Although
strong winds, possibly to tropical storm force, could still be
occurring in association with this system, development of the wave
is unlikely while it moves westward across the Caribbean Sea for
most of this week.  This disturbance could produce periods of
locally heavy rainfall and gusty winds over portions of the Lesser
Antilles today, and over Puerto Rico and Hispaniola later today and
on Tuesday. Upper-level winds could become a little more conducive
for development when the wave approaches the Yucatan peninsula late
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

2. A low pressure area associated with a tropical wave is expected to
form several hundred miles southwest or west-southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands late this week.  Environmental conditions appear
conducive for slow development of this system after that time while
the system moves west-northwestward into the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Forecaster Kimberlain