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SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
300 PM EDT FRI MAY 27 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower and thunderstorm activity has become more concentrated with
the area of low pressure located about 450 miles southeast of
Charleston, South Carolina.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is currently investigating the low to determine if
it has acquired a well-defined surface circulation. Environmental
conditions are favorable for this system to become a tropical
cyclone later today or on Saturday while it moves west-northwestward
toward the southeastern United States coast.  Interests from Georgia
through North Carolina should monitor the progress of this low.

1. If advisories are not initiated this afternoon, the next Special
Tropical Weather Outlook on this disturbance will be issued by
8 PM EDT this evening. For additional information on this system,
please see High Seas Forecasts as well as products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS Header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO Header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Stewart