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Tropical Weather Outlook Text
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 PM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure centered over the eastern Bay of Campeche has changed little in organization since yesterday. This system is expected to move west-northwestward across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico during the next day or two, and some slow development is possible. After that time, the low is expected to encounter a cold front, which would make additional development unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent 2. A large area of cloudiness and showers extending from the eastern Caribbean Sea across the Lesser Antilles into the Atlantic is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a west- northwestward moving tropical wave. Development, if any, during the next day or two should be slow to occur. However, environmental conditions are expected to become more favorable late in the weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent Forecaster Beven
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