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Tropical Weather Outlook Text
ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 100 AM EST FRI NOV 6 2015 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: 1. A broad area of low pressure over the Yucatan Peninsula is producing some disorganized showers well northeast of the center. This system is expected to move west-northwestward into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by the weekend and some slow development is possible during the next couple of days. After that time, the low is expected to encounter a cold front, which would make additional development unlikely. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent 2. A large area of cloudiness and showers near the Lesser Antilles extending eastward for several hundred miles is associated with the interaction of an upper-level trough and a tropical wave. Although upper-level winds are forecast to be too strong for development over the next couple of days, heavy rain is possible in the Lesser Antilles while the system moves through the area. By late in the weekend, when the system is forecast to be near or north of Puerto Rico, environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable, and some development of the disturbance is possible early next week while it moves northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent Forecaster Blake
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