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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of showers and thunderstorms extending from the northwestern
Caribbean Sea through the southern Yucatan peninsula is associated
with an area of low pressure located over central Belize. Land
interaction is expected to preclude significant development of this
system during the next day or so while it moves slowly west-
northwestward across the southern Yucatan peninsula. However, some
limited development is possible on Sunday or Monday if the low
emerges into the southern Bay of Campeche. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, this system will likely produce heavy rainfall
across portions of Honduras, Belize, northern Guatemala, and the
Yucatan Peninsula through Monday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Brennan/Kimberlain