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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON SEP 28 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Eleven, located about midway between the central Bahamas
and Bermuda.

1. A weak area of low pressure centered over the east-central Gulf of
Mexico, about 200 miles west-southwest of Tampa, is associated with
a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends
from western Cuba northward across the eastern Gulf of Mexico.  The
circulation associated with this system is less well defined
than it was yesterday, and strong upper-level winds should prevent
significant development.  The system is expected to move north-
northeastward toward the northern Gulf Coast over the next 24
hours, to the east of a broader non-tropical area of low pressure
located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is currently en route to investigate the
low. Regardless of whether or not this disturbance becomes a
tropical cyclone, locally heavy rains are likely over portions of
the southeastern United States during the next few days.  For
additional information on this system, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service and products from your local
National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

2. A large area of disturbed weather over the central Atlantic is
associated with a frontal trough and the remnants of Ida.  Some slow
development of this system is possible in a couple of days while it
moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under
WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under
WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Kimberlain