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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT MON SEP 28 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Depression Eleven, located about midway between the
central Bahamas and Bermuda.

1. A low pressure system located over the south-central Gulf of Mexico,
about 100 miles north of the northeastern Yucatan Peninsula, is
producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that
extends from the eastern Gulf of Mexico southward across western
Cuba and the Yucatan Channel.  Upper-level winds are expected to
remain only marginally conducive for development while the system
moves northward toward the northern Gulf Coast during the next
couple of days.  Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, this
disturbance is likely to produce locally heavy rainfall over
portions of the northeastern Gulf Coast, and the southeastern United
States during the next few days.  An Air Force Reserve
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the low this
afternoon, if necessary.  For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service and
products from your local National Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under
WMO header WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven are issued under
WMO header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Roberts