NHC Graphical Outlook Archive
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Tropical Weather Outlook Text
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 500 PM PDT SUN AUG 23 2015 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with a slow-moving low pressure area located about 1450 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent 2. A large area of disorganized cloudiness and showers located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a surface trough. Development of this system is unlikely since it is expected to gradually lose its identity or merge with the disturbance to its west. The system should move northwestward, and then west-northwestward at about 10 at 15 mph over the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent 3. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern Mexico are associated with a tropical wave. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week while this system moves westward and then west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent Forecaster Blake
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