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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT TUE AUG 11 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula have increased since yesterday. However,
significant development of this system is unlikely due to
increasingly unfavorable upper-level winds while it moves westward
at around 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form a few hundred miles
south of Mexico in a few days. Environmental conditions should
support gradual development of this system by the weekend while it
moves west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Forecaster Brennan