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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE AUG 4 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite imagery and radar data indicate that thunderstorm
activity associated with the low pressure area near Little River
Inlet, North Carolina has not become better organized during the
past few hours.  While upper-level winds are at best marginally
conducive, there is some potential for a tropical cyclone to form
this afternoon or tonight as the low moves northeastward along the
coast of North Carolina.  After tonight, the low is expected to move
into the open Atlantic Ocean and merge with a frontal system.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and gusty winds will
continue to spread along the coastal areas of North Carolina this
afternoon and tonight. For additional information on this system,
see High Seas Forecasts and local forecast office products issued by
the National Weather Service.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is currently investigating this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

Forecaster Beven