NHC Graphical Outlook Archive
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Tropical Weather Outlook Text
ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1100 AM PDT SAT MAY 23 2015 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: 1. Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure located about 1450 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California has decreased during the past 24 hours. However, environmental conditions still appear conducive for gradual development during the next couple of days while it moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Thereafter, the system should move over cooler water and into an area of less favorable upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent 2. Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure located about 1650 miles southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii has become better organized over the past 24 hours. Some additional development is possible during the next day or two, and a tropical depression could form during that time. After that time, development is not expected due to the proximity of the disturbance to its northeast and north. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent 3. An area of low pressure may form early next week several hundred miles south of the coast of Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for subsequent slow development of the system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent Forecaster Beven
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