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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

100 AM EST WED NOV 5 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A large area of disturbed weather extending northward from the
northeastern Caribbean Sea into the Atlantic for several hundred
miles is associated with a weak surface trough.  A low pressure
system could form in this area within the next day or two, and
this system could briefly acquire subtropical characteristics
while the low moves generally northwestward.  By late in the week,
additional development is not expected while the disturbance moves
north-northeastward and merges with a frontal zone.  Regardless of
development, locally heavy rainfall and possible flooding can be
expected across the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and portions of the
Dominican Republic today and tonight.  For additional information on
the heavy rainfall threat, please consult products issued by your
national meteorological service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

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