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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT WED OCT 29 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of low pressure has formed just north of the Leeward
Islands and is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Although upper-level winds are particularly
conducive, some development of this disturbance is possible during
the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  After that time, conditions are
forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation
while the system turns northward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...30 percent.

Forecaster Blake/Brown

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