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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED OCT 15 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. A large area of disturbed weather extending from the Gulf of
Tehuantepec southwestward for a few hundred miles is associated
with an elongated area of low pressure.  This disturbance is showing
signs of organization, and the environment appears to be favorable
for the formation of a tropical depression during the next day or
so.  This system is expected to move northwestward or northward
toward the coast of Mexico, and regardless of whether or not a
tropical cyclone forms, heavy rains will spread across southwestern
Mexico over the next few days. These rains could cause
life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Avila

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