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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU OCT 9 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Shower and thunderstorm activity, associated with a broad surface
low pressure area and an upper-level low, is becoming a little
better organized several hundred miles northeast of the northern
Leeward Islands.  Environmental conditions appear generally
conducive for additional development during the next couple of days,
and a tropical or subtropical depression could form by the weekend
while the system moves northwestward or north-northwestward at about
10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

Forecaster Berg

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