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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT MON SEP 1 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A broad area of low pressure is located over the eastern Bay
of Campeche.  Environmental conditions appear to be favorable for
some development, and this system could become a tropical depression
within the next day or two as it moves west-northwestward near 10
mph.  An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the low this afternoon, if necessary.  Regardless of
development, this system will produce heavy rainfall across the
Yucatan Peninsula and southeastern Mexico today and Tuesday, and
across portions of eastern mainland Mexico on Tuesday and Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Pasch

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