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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT WED JUL 30 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located
about 1100 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula remains disorganized.  However, environmental
conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system
during the next several days while it moves westward or
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. Disorganized cloudiness and showers are associated with an area of
low pressure located about 1700 miles southwest of the southern tip
of the Baja California peninsula.  Some development of this
system is possible during the next several days before environmental
conditions become less conducive this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

3. An area of low pressure is forecast to form well southwest of the
southern coast of Mexico in a few days.  Some gradual development of
this system is possible after that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Beven

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