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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT JUL 26 2014

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Depression Genevieve, located more than a thousand miles
east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii, and on recently-
upgraded Tropical Storm Hernan, located a few hundred miles
southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico.

1. Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about
1350 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula is currently poorly organized.  While upper-level winds
are becoming less favorable for development, there is still some
potential for a tropical depression to form tonight or Sunday.
Regardless of development, the low should continue to move slowly
westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. An area of low pressure may form well south of southern Mexico early
next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible after
that time.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Hernan are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC
and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories are issued
under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3.

Forecaster Beven




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