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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Tue Sep 20 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Madeline, located a couple hundred miles 
southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula.

1. 1. South of Southwestern Mexico:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low 
pressure located just off the coast of southwestern Mexico has shown 
signs of becoming better organized today. Environmental conditions 
are expected to support some additional development of this system 
as it moves west-northwestward near or just south of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico today and tonight, and then away from 
the coast of Mexico through the end of the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. 2. South of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure offshore of southern Mexico and 
Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Development of this system, if any, should be slow to occur while 
it meanders off the coast of southern Mexico through the week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster D. Zelinsky/Jelsema