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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Sep 17 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Madeline, located several hundred miles south-southeast of 
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. 

1. South of Central America and Southeastern Mexico:
A broad area of low pressure has formed in the far eastern portion 
of the eastern North Pacific and is producing some shower and 
thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are forecast to be 
conducive for slow development while the system moves slowly 
west-northwestward near or offshore the coast of southern Mexico 
through mid-week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. South of Southern Mexico:
Another area of low pressure could form south of the southern coast 
of Mexico in a few days. Some gradual development is possible 
thereafter while the disturbance moves generally west-northwestward 
off the coast of southwestern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Madeline are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP4. 
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Madeline are issued under WMO 
header WTPZ24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP4.

Forecaster Papin