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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM PDT Wed Sep 14 2022

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico:
Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized 
near a small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles 
southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico.  The chances for this low to 
merge with another area of disturbed weather to its east-southeast 
appear to be decreasing, and it could become a tropical depression 
during the couple of days while meandering southwest of the 
southwestern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Near the Coast of Southern Mexico:
A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of 
hundred miles off the coast of southern Mexico is associated with a 
trough of low pressure.  Environmental conditions would be 
conducive for development if the system remains offshore, and a 
tropical depression could form while moving little off the southern 
coast of Mexico during the next couple of days, and then moving 
west-northwestward near the coast of southern and southwestern 
Mexico over the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. 

Forecaster Berg