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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 21 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms within a few hundred miles of 
the southern coast of Mexico are associated with a broad area of 
low pressure located just to the southwest of the Gulf of 
Tehuantepec.  Environmental conditions are expected to be 
conducive for gradual development of this system during the next 
several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by this 
weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward to 
northwestward near or just offshore the southern coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Forecaster Latto