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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Tue Jul 13 2021

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure 
located about 750 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja 
California peninsula are showing signs of organization.  Although 
the circulation of the low is currently elongated, environmental 
conditions are expected to remain favorable for additional 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
in a day or two while the low moves westward to west-northwestward 
at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to develop well south of the 
coast of southern Mexico late this week and move westward at 10
to 15 mph.  Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable 
for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to 
form this weekend well offshore of the southwest coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Brown