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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 4 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently 
downgraded Tropical Storm Marie, located over the western part of 
the basin.

1. Showers and thunderstorms are still showing signs of organization
in association with an area of low pressure located several hundred 
miles south of the southwestern coast of Mexico.   Environmental 
conditions appear conducive for additional development, and a 
tropical depression will likely form during the next day or two 
while the system drifts northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure has formed a few hundred miles 
south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec.  Some slight 
development of this system is possible over the next couple of 
days while it moves slowly northward.  Upper-level winds are 
forecast to become unfavorable for development by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Blake




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