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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sat Jul 4 2020

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a 
broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles 
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California 
peninsula.  Slow development of this system is possible during the 
next few days while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

2. An area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the coast 
of southeastern Mexico and Guatemala in a couple of days. 
Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the 
middle of next week while the system moves west-northwestward, well 
south of the coast of southern Mexico. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Beven