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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Visible satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure
located just south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is slowly becoming
better defined, however, the associated shower and thunderstorm
activity is still disorganized. Environmental conditions appear to
be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression
or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The
system is forecast to move generally toward the west-northwest at 10
to 15 mph for the next several days, near or just offshore the coast
of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

2. An elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula
is producing disorganized showers.  Development, if any, should
should be slow to occur during the next few days while the system
remains nearly stationary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

Forecaster Zelinsky