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Tropical Weather Outlook Text

ZCZC MIATWOEP ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Fri Jun 22 2018

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. An area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles
south-southwest of Acapulco, Mexico is associated with an elongated
area of low pressure.  This is disturbance is disorganized, but the
environment is forecast to become more conducive for development
over the next day or so, and a tropical depression is likely to form
early next week while the disturbance moves westward to west-
northwestward at 5 to 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Another elongated area of low pressure located a little more
than 800 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula continues to produce shower and thunderstorm
activity. There has been no significant change in organization
during the past several hours. However, environmental conditions are
expected to be somewhat conducive for development over the next few
days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend while
the disturbance moves toward the north or north-northeast at about 5
mph over the open eastern North Pacific. The system is expected to
reach cooler waters early next week, which will limit the potential
for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Forecaster Avila




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