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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 AM PDT FRI OCT 21 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a small low pressure area
centered about 750 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula have become less organized since
yesterday.  The low still has a chance to become a tropical
depression during the next day or so before upper-level winds become
too strong for formation.  This system is expected to drift
northward or northwestward over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent

2. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located a few hundred miles
south-southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec are associated with a
broad area of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are forecast
to become more favorable for gradual development of this disturbance
over the weekend, and a tropical depression could form early
next week while the system moves toward the west-northwest at about
10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Forecaster Blake