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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
500 PM PDT SAT OCT 15 2016
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. Shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization
since yesterday in association with a broad area of low pressure
located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja
California peninsula. Satellite wind data indicate that while the
low-level circulation has become a little better organized today, it
remains elongated. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
some gradual development, and a tropical depression could form by
early next week while the disturbance moves generally westward at 10
to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent
Forecaster Brennan