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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT TUE OCT 11 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. Showers and thunderstorms continue near a low pressure area
centered about 925 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the
Baja California peninsula. Although environmental conditions are
becoming less favorable for development, this low still has some
potential to become a tropical depression during the next couple of
days before it moves west-northwestward over cooler waters.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

2. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred
miles south of Acapulco, Mexico, are associated with a broad area
of low pressure.  Environmental conditions are expected to
be generally conducive for development, and a tropical depression
could form by the weekend while the low moves westward well to the
southwest of mainland Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent

Forecaster Blake