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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Sep 16 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Fiona, located a couple of hundred miles east-southeast 
of the Leeward Islands. 

1. Western Atlantic:
A frontal low over the western Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles 
west-northwest of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms.  This low is expected to move eastward to 
east-southeastward at 10 to 15 mph, and development into a tropical 
cyclone is not anticipated due to strong upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

2. Central Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical 
Atlantic Ocean are associated with the northern end of a tropical 
wave.  Some slow development of this system is possible early next 
week while it moves northwestward to northward over the central 
subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Berg