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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun May 29 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Near the Yucatan Peninsula:
A large and complex area of low pressure is expected to develop 
across Central America, the Yucatan Peninsula, and the southwest 
Gulf of Mexico in a few days, partially related to the remnants of 
Hurricane Agatha from the eastern Pacific. Some gradual development 
is possible within this system in the far southwest Gulf of Mexico 
by mid-week or in the northwest Caribbean by the latter part of this 
week as the larger low complex drifts eastward or northeastward. 
Regardless of development, locally heavy rains will be possible 
across southern Mexico, the Yucatan Peninsula, Guatemala, and Belize 
through the week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Papin