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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 30 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A strong low pressure system located several hundred miles 
south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, continues to produce 
some shower activity near and to the east of its center while moving 
southeastward at around 15 mph.  The low appears to be gradually 
losing its frontal structure, and the system is likely to transition 
to a subtropical storm by early next week while it meanders over the 
central subtropical Atlantic.  By the middle of next week, the 
system is expected to turn northward and move toward colder waters. 
For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see 
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. A broad area of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is 
located several hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands.  The 
associated shower and thunderstorm activity is showing signs of 
organization, and environmental conditions could support some 
development of this system during the next couple of days while it 
moves generally northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.  Upper-level winds 
are forecast to become increasingly unfavorable for further 
development by the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Reinhart