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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 3 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Larry, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic several hundred 
miles west of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. 

1. A surface trough over the Gulf of Honduras and portions of Central 
America is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. 
This system is expected to move west-northwestward across Central 
America and the Yucatan Peninsula, bringing heavy rains to that area 
during the next couple of days.  The disturbance could then move 
over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend, but 
unfavorable upper-level winds are likely to limit significant 
development while the system moves northwestward or northward over 
the western Gulf of Mexico early next week.  
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms have decreased tonight in association with 
an area of disturbed weather located about 100 miles south of the 
southernmost Cabo Verde Islands.  In addition, recent satellite 
derived wind data indicate that the system does not have a closed 
circulation.  This disturbance is expected to move westward into an 
environment less conducive for development during the next couple of 
days, and the chances of formation appear to be decreasing.  This 
system could bring showers and gusty winds to portions of the 
southernmost Cabo Verde Islands during the next several hours. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Forecaster Cangialosi