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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 27 2021

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Satellite imagery and nearby buoy and ship observations indicate 
that a small low pressure system has formed about 500 miles 
east-southeast of the Georgia-South Carolina border. Surface 
pressures have begun to fall across the area, and showers and 
thunderstorms have recently become better organized. Some additional 
development of this system will be possible later today, and 
especially on Monday when the system will move across the warmer 
waters of the Gulf Stream, and a tropical depression could form 
before the system makes landfall along the southern U.S. coast. The 
low is expected to move westward today, and then west-northwestward 
at about 15 mph on Monday, reaching the coast of the southeastern 
United States by late Monday.  An Air Force Reserve Unit 
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system 
Monday afternoon, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

2. An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located over 
the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean more than 700 miles southwest of 
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and 
thunderstorms. Little, if any, development of this system is 
expected for the next couple of days, followed by some gradual 
development by Wednesday and continuing through the end of the week 
while it moves it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 20 
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Forecaster Stewart/Latto