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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on 
Post-Tropical Cyclone Paulette, located several hundred miles 
east-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, and is issuing 
advisories on Sally, located over the far western portion of the 
Florida panhandle, on Hurricane Teddy, located over the central 
tropical Atlantic, and on Tropical Storm Vicky, located over the 
eastern tropical Atlantic. 

1. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low 
pressure over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico gradually continue to 
become better organized.  Upper-level winds are forecast to 
gradually become more conducive for further development, and a 
tropical depression is likely to form late this week or over the 
weekend while the low meanders over the southern Gulf of Mexico for 
the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of 
low pressure located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde 
Islands.  Environmental conditions are conducive for development of 
this system and a tropical depression is likely to form during the 
next few days while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 
mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

3. A non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the far 
northeastern Atlantic Ocean a few hundred miles northeast of the 
Azores.  This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics 
while it moves southeastward and eastward at about 10 mph during 
the next few days.  For more information on this system, see 
High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. 
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO 
header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at 
www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/ 
metarea2

Forecaster Roberts