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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU OCT 20 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An elongated area of low pressure located about 300 miles
east-northeast of the Central Bahamas is moving northwestward
at about 10 mph.  Although the associated shower and thunderstorm
activity remains disorganized, environmental conditions could become
a little more conducive for the low to acquire some tropical
characteristics during the next day or so, and this system could
still become a subtropical or tropical cyclone before it merges with
a cold front over the western Atlantic late Friday.  A NOAA
reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system
this afternoon, if necessary.  Regardless of development, locally
heavy rainfall is possible over Hispaniola and Puerto Rico today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent

Forecaster Brown