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TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT FRI JUN 3 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Bonnie, located about 300 miles east of Cape Hatteras, North
Carolina.

1. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms continues
over the western Caribbean Sea.  This system is moving
west-northwestward toward the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico, and a low
pressure area is expected to form over the Yucatan or the adjacent
waters over the weekend.  This low is likely to develop into a
tropical cyclone as it subsequently moves across the eastern Gulf of
Mexico and the Florida Peninsula early next week.  Regardless of
development, locally heavy rains and flooding are possible over
portions of the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Florida
Peninsula during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

Forecaster Pasch