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SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EST FRI JAN 8 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An extratropical low pressure system centered about 75 miles north
of Bermuda is producing a large area of gale-force winds and maximum
winds of 50 to 60 mph. During the next couple of days, the
combination of strong upper-level winds, dry air, and cool sea-
surface temperatures are expected to remain unfavorable for
subtropical or tropical cyclone formation while the low moves
eastward at 15 to 20 mph into the central Atlantic Ocean. However,
environmental conditions could become more conducive for this system
to acquire some subtropical characteristics while it moves east-
southeastward into the eastern subtropical Atlantic next week.
Regardless of subtropical or tropical cyclone formation, this system
is expected to produce hazardous marine conditions over portions of
the central Atlantic for the next few days. For additional
information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service. The next Special Tropical Weather Outlook on this system
will be issued by 3 PM EST Saturday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and on
the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml.

Forecaster Brennan