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SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
110 AM EDT SAT JUN 13 2015

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending from Central
America northward across the northwestern Caribbean Sea are
primarily associated with an upper-level trough.  This activity is
expected to spread into the southwestern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday.
Upper-level winds are only marginal for tropical cyclone formation
and development, if any, will be slow to occur while this system
moves generally northwestward through the middle of next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent

Forecaster Avila