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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Mon Oct 2 2023

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP98):
Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in 
association with a broad area of low pressure located several 
hundred miles south of the coast of southwestern Mexico.  
Environmental conditions are expected to remain favorable for 
development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during 
the next day or so.  The system is forecast to move generally 
northwestward through the end of the week. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

2. South of Central America:
An area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles 
south of the coast of Central America during the next few days.  
Afterward, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive 
for gradual development of the disturbance, and a tropical 
depression could form late this week or over the weekend while 
the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Forecaster Roberts