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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 PM PDT Sun Oct 1 2023
For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:
1. South of Southwestern Mexico (EP98):
A tropical wave located several hundred miles south of the coast of
southern and southwestern Mexico continues to produce a large area
of showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are
expected to be conducive for development of this system during the
next several days, and a tropical depression is expected to form by
the middle part of this week while it moves west-northwestward to
northwestward at about 10 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.
2. South of Central America:
A broad area of low pressure could form a few hundred miles south of
the coast of Central America toward the end of this week.
Thereafter, some gradual development of this system is possible
while it moves slowly westward to west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Forecaster Roberts