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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Sep 20 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Nigel, located over the central subtropical Atlantic.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is currently located just off the west coast of 
Africa. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for 
gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form 
late this week or this weekend while the system moves generally 
westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Western Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form east of the 
Florida peninsula late this week.  This system could acquire some 
subtropical characteristics by this weekend while it moves generally 
northward.  Regardless of development, this low is likely to bring 
gusty winds to gale force, heavy rain, and high surf to portions of 
the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic United States late this week and into 
this weekend.  Additional information on this system can be found 
in High Seas Forecasts and products from your local National 
Weather Service office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 
KWBC, and online at

Forecaster Pasch

List of Atlantic Outlooks (May 2023 - Present)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (May 2023 - Present)
List of Central Pacific Outlooks (May 2023 - Present)
List of Atlantic Outlooks (July 2014 - April 2023)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (July 2014 - April 2023)
List of Central Pacific Outlooks (June 2019 - April 2023)
List of Atlantic Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)
List of East Pacific Outlooks (June 2009 - June 2014)