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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Sep 9 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane 
Lee, located a few hundred miles east-northeast of the northern 
Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Margot, located over the 
eastern tropical Atlantic.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL97):
A small area of low pressure is currently located a few hundred 
miles to the southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system is 
currently producing a small but concentrated area of showers and 
thunderstorms, and earlier satellite-derived winds suggested a 
small circulation could exist. However, environmental conditions 
appear to be only marginally favorable for additional development as 
the system moves slowly westward, remaining over the eastern 
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 

2. Near the West African Coastline:
A tropical wave currently located near the West African coastline is 
forecast to emerge into the eastern Tropical Atlantic over the next 
day or so. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear generally 
conducive for some gradual development of this system as it moves 
westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern 
Tropical Atlantic. 
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. 

Forecaster Papin